What the CAPE Ratio Predicts Over the Next Ten Years
One valuation reading sat near the top of its range before the 1929 crash, again before the 2000 dot-com collapse, and again through the 2010s while the
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Markets
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The Yield Curve Has Called Nearly Every Recession Since the 1950s
One line in the bond market has flipped negative before every US recession in half a century, and it has never once told anyone the date. That line is the
The Fear Index Does Not Measure Fear
The number traders call the fear index measures no fear at all. It measures the price of S&P 500 options, and its worst readings have marked some of the